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Treasury & Forex Advisory · Question
Short answer
Sometimes, but not freely. Authorised dealer banks generally want a genuine underlying exposure, and the rules treat firm contracts differently from anticipated ones. Whether an unconfirmed order qualifies depends on the current regulations, your track record and your bank's own policy, so ask your dealer bank before planning around it.
Hedging exists to cover a real commercial exposure, not to speculate. That is why a bank normally asks what the underlying transaction is before it books a cover. A signed order or invoice is easy to point to. A hoped-for order is harder.
For anticipated flows, regulation has traditionally allowed some cover based on past experience, for example a business that has shipped steadily to the same markets. The extent, conditions and documents depend on the framework in force at the time and on how your dealer bank applies it. Treat what you read in older articles as a starting point only and confirm the current position with the bank.
The real danger is mismatch. If you cover an order that then does not arrive, you are left holding a contract that no longer protects any business flow. It still has to be settled, and it may settle at a loss. That loss is real money, even though the order was imaginary.
Do not hedge a hope
Cover only the part of the expected flow you are highly confident about. Treat anything speculative as uncovered, or consider a more flexible instrument instead.
A sensible approach is to work in layers. Cover most of the firm, shipped business. Cover a smaller portion of confirmed but unshipped orders. Cover little or nothing of forecasts. As an order firms up, you can add cover.
Document your reasoning. Notes showing why you expected the flow help if the bank, an auditor or a lender later asks why the contract was booked.
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This answer is general information, not advice on your particular case. Terms, eligibility, and requirements change, so check the current position with the relevant institution or authority. Lalsar Holdings' financial advisory and financing work is advisory and facilitation only. Lalsar Holdings is not a lender. Sanction and disbursement of any credit facility is at the sole discretion of the partner bank, NBFC, or financial institution involved, subject to their own eligibility criteria and credit policy.